The race for the Labour leadership is heating up, with Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham weighing his options. As Keir Starmer prepares for a high-profile trip to China, Burnham’s decision on whether to stand for a parliamentary seat could have far-reaching consequences for both men.
Burnham, often referred to as the “King of the North,” is considering a return to Westminster, seizing the opportunity presented by a by-election in his own backyard. The upcoming local elections in May are expected to be devastating for Starmer, and Burnham’s popularity in Greater Manchester could give him a clear path to challenge the Prime Minister’s position.
However, Burnham’s decision is not an easy one. The Labour establishment, dominated by Starmer loyalists, is reportedly determined to block Burnham’s candidacy, citing the party’s rules requiring mayors to seek permission to stand for parliament. This could turn Burnham into a “martyr” within the party, boosting his popularity, but also highlights the weakness of Starmer’s position.
If Burnham is allowed to run and wins the by-election, he would have a clear shot at the Labour leadership. Conversely, if he is blocked and Labour loses the by-election, it could be claimed that the party could have retained the seat if Burnham had been allowed to run.
Starmer’s allies are urging Burnham not to “rock the boat,” warning that it could lead to an early general election. But the Prime Minister is already in a precarious position, and any move to stop Burnham from running could further destabilize his leadership.
As Starmer heads to China, the press will continue to scrutinize his potential challenger, and backbenchers will have ample time to scheme. The outcome of this political drama could ultimately determine the future of both Burnham and Starmer within the Labour Party.