In a world increasingly characterised by unpredictability, journalist Simone Stolzoff dives headfirst into the murky waters of uncertainty in his latest book, *How to Not Know: The Value of Uncertainty in a World That Demands Answers*. Drawing from personal experiences and extensive research, Stolzoff explores the psychological complexities of our aversion to the unknown and offers insights on how we might better navigate this inherent aspect of life.
The Weight of Decision-Making
Stolzoff, who describes himself as inherently uncertain and prone to overthinking, recalls a pivotal moment in his career. While working as a journalist in New York, he faced a daunting decision: whether to remain in journalism or take an enticing job at a design firm in San Francisco. “I was caught in an existential loop,” he reflects. This indecision prompted him to consult a wide array of people—from friends to his yoga instructor—highlighting the lengths to which we often go to seek reassurance.
Ultimately, he chose the San Francisco position, an experience that contributed significantly to the themes explored in his book. Looking back, he acknowledges that his greatest struggle was not the choice itself, but the overwhelming desire for certainty that plagued him. “It was my intolerance of uncertainty that caused so much angst,” he states.
The Modern Dilemma of Uncertainty
In today’s fast-paced world, where information is at our fingertips, our collective tolerance for uncertainty seems to be dwindling. Stolzoff cites research from Stanford economist Nicholas Bloom, revealing that the highest levels of global uncertainty have been recorded in the last five years. As our lives become more intertwined with technology—particularly smartphones—there is an expectation that answers should always be readily available, fostering a sense of impatience when faced with the unknown.

“We have a natural instinct to flee from uncertainty,” Stolzoff explains, noting how this instinct can lead us astray. Rather than seeking immediate answers, he advocates for a different approach: embracing uncertainty as an integral part of life. This shift in mindset can lead to personal growth and new discoveries, even if it feels uncomfortable at first.
The Benefits of Sitting with Uncertainty
Stolzoff argues that many people avoid confronting uncertainty, often opting to stay in familiar situations that no longer serve them. However, he contends that embracing the unknown can lead to unexpected opportunities. “Uncertainty is not just a threat; it’s also the birthplace of possibility,” he asserts. By tolerating uncertainty, individuals can unlock new potentials within themselves and their circumstances.
Furthermore, the mental health implications of this acceptance are profound. Our brains are wired to anticipate worst-case scenarios, which can exacerbate anxiety. By learning to sit with uncertainty, we can reduce the tendency to catastrophise and foster a more nuanced understanding of life’s unpredictability.
Strategies for Cultivating Tolerance
Stolzoff offers practical advice for those looking to increase their tolerance for uncertainty. He emphasises the importance of exposure—gradually confronting what makes us uneasy rather than avoiding it. He also highlights the value of grounding ourselves in constants throughout our lives. Identifying anchors—whether they be values, relationships, or commitments—can provide stability amid the chaos.

In his exploration of uncertainty, Stolzoff draws parallels between personal experiences and broader societal issues, such as political polarisation and the loneliness epidemic. He believes that a reluctance to engage with uncertainty contributes to these challenges, urging readers to cultivate openness in their interactions with others.
Why it Matters
Stolzoff’s insights resonate at a time when uncertainty feels like a constant companion in our lives. His exploration of the psychological and physiological aspects of our intolerance for the unknown encourages a paradigm shift in how we approach life’s unpredictability. By embracing uncertainty rather than shying away from it, we not only enhance our mental resilience but also open ourselves to new experiences and opportunities. In a world that demands answers, Stolzoff reminds us that the true magic often lies in the questions we dare to ask and the paths we have yet to explore.