In a developing political saga, allies of Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham have alleged that Downing Street is orchestrating a campaign aimed at thwarting his chances in the upcoming by-election for the Makerfield constituency. As Labour MPs receive alarming briefings suggesting that Burnham’s potential success could lead to the return of former party leader Jeremy Corbyn, tensions within the party are escalating.
Allegations of Dirty Tricks
Reports from within Labour indicate that Burnham’s allies believe the Prime Minister’s Office is actively attempting to derail his candidacy. The anxiety stems from claims that should Burnham secure victory, he could pave the way for Corbyn’s re-entry into the party, following his expulsion in 2024 over antisemitism allegations. This assertion has incited fears that the Labour leadership may adopt a lacklustre approach to supporting Burnham in the by-election, with suggestions that MPs may be encouraged to campaign for him without a formal three-line whip.
Compounding the situation, many Labour backbenchers are pessimistic about their party’s prospects in Makerfield, especially after the Reform party’s recent dominance in local council elections. While early indications pointed towards local councillor Robert Kenyon as Reform’s candidate, sources now suggest Dr David Bull could take the helm following a leadership change within the party.
The Stakes for Keir Starmer
A senior source close to Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has acknowledged that if Burnham triumphs in Makerfield, it could significantly elevate his chances of becoming the next Prime Minister. Political analysts, including Professor Sir John Curtice, have echoed this sentiment, stating that Burnham’s victory would likely position him as a frontrunner for Labour leadership.
Despite the mounting pressure, Starmer has publicly backed whoever the Labour candidate may be, while firmly refusing to establish a timeline for his own departure from leadership. In a recent statement, he stressed the importance of the by-election, affirming his commitment to support the chosen candidate wholeheartedly.
Internal Conflicts and Potential Fallout
As the campaign heats up, the atmosphere within Labour grows increasingly charged. Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy has publicly rebuked Labour MPs for what he deems “self-sabotage” in their attempts to oust Starmer. Meanwhile, a prominent left-wing ally of Burnham has articulated frustration over the prevailing political culture within both Labour and Downing Street, suggesting that entrenched cliques and patronage continue to undermine party unity.
In a recent speech delivered in Leeds, Burnham articulated his ambitions for the country, positioning himself as a candidate for substantial change. He emphasised the need for affordable living and re-industrialisation, making it clear that his campaign would be centred around transformative policies.
The Role of Brexit in Burnham’s Campaign
As Burnham prepares for the by-election, the spectre of Brexit looms large over his campaign strategy. While his popularity in Greater Manchester is undeniable, the constituency historically leans pro-Leave, complicating his stance on EU matters. Political observers note that any overtures towards rejoining the EU could alienate potential voters, particularly in light of Wes Streeting’s recent comments advocating for EU membership.
The intricate dynamics of support within the Labour Party are also under scrutiny. A source close to Downing Street indicated concerns about the fragility of Burnham’s coalition of support, which spans both right-leaning and left-leaning factions within Labour. Navigating these differing ideologies will be critical for Burnham as he seeks to unify the party’s base while appealing to a broad electorate.
Why it Matters
The unfolding events surrounding Andy Burnham’s by-election bid are emblematic of the broader challenges facing the Labour Party. As internal divisions deepen, the implications of this contest extend far beyond Makerfield, potentially reshaping the party’s leadership landscape. With the spectre of Corbyn’s return and the complexities of Brexit dominating discussions, the outcome could significantly influence Labour’s strategy and cohesion in the lead-up to future elections. Burnham’s ability to galvanise support and effectively communicate his vision will be crucial in determining not only his political future but also the trajectory of the party itself.
