In a significant move within Labour’s political landscape, Andy Burnham has turned to Sue Gray, former chief of staff to Keir Starmer, for strategic advice on navigating a potential return to Downing Street. Their discussions come at a critical juncture as speculation mounts regarding the future of the Labour leadership following disappointing local election outcomes. As the party prepares for the pivotal Makerfield by-election, the stakes have never been higher.
A Long-standing Connection
Burnham and Gray’s relationship dates back to the era of Tony Blair, when Burnham served as a minister and Gray was entrenched within the Cabinet Office. Though both are seasoned political figures, it is reported that Gray will not pursue any formal position in a future Labour government. Her insights, however, are likely to be invaluable as Burnham strategises on how to establish a government should he succeed in his Westminster ambitions.
Gray’s departure from Downing Street in October 2024 was marred by controversy, attributed to her alleged “control freakery” that created friction within Starmer’s administration. Critics accused her of hampering decision-making processes at No 10, leading to a toxic work environment. As such, Burnham’s consultation with Gray raises eyebrows, suggesting both a desire to learn from past missteps and to fortify his own political positioning.
Internal Tensions and Electoral Challenges
As Burnham focuses on the Makerfield by-election, which is seen as a crucial test for his political future and the direction of the Labour Party, the internal dynamics within Labour have become increasingly contentious. Darren Jones, chief secretary to the Treasury, voiced concerns about the rampant speculation within the party, labelling it “fantasy politics.” He emphasised the need for substantive discussions about Labour’s strategy moving forward, particularly in light of the recent electoral setbacks.
With Labour’s internal debates heating up, Jones reiterated that the party’s priority must remain on the pressing issues facing the country, rather than on individual ambitions. “We cannot afford to lose sight of the bigger picture,” he asserted, underscoring the urgency of addressing the electorate’s needs as the party gears up for the upcoming elections.
Recent polling indicates that Burnham is in a tight race in Makerfield, with Labour at 43% and Reform UK closely trailing at 40%. This starkly illustrates the shifting political landscape and the potential for Labour to lose ground in areas previously considered safe.
Key Supporters Rally for Burnham
The support for Burnham is palpable, with high-profile Labour figures publicly backing his campaign. Notable allies such as Wes Streeting and Lucy Powell have been seen campaigning alongside him, reinforcing the notion that Burnham is a contender worth watching. Streeting, who has his own aspirations for leadership, has called for a “proper contest” over Labour’s future direction, suggesting that the party must engage in a more profound dialogue about policy and electoral strategy.
Burnham has also made a conscious effort to distance himself from calls for Labour to rejoin the European Union, a topic that continues to polarise party members. Instead, he has advocated for greater public control over key sectors like transport and energy, aiming to present a vision that resonates with voters disillusioned by the status quo.
Policy Over Personalities
Adding to the discourse, former foreign secretary David Miliband weighed in at the Hay festival, arguing that Labour must prioritise policy over personnel changes. He insisted that without substantive policy shifts, a change in leadership will yield little difference. Miliband’s remarks highlight a growing sentiment within the party that the focus must shift from who leads to the policies being proposed.
While the speculation surrounding potential appointments—such as the prospect of Ed Miliband serving as chancellor should Burnham ascend to power—remains unconfirmed, the dialogue surrounding these possibilities underscores the intricate web of alliances and rivalries within Labour.
Why it Matters
The political manoeuvring within Labour encapsulates a party at a crossroads, grappling with its identity and electoral viability in a rapidly changing political environment. Burnham’s engagement with Gray signals a calculated approach to leadership that could redefine Labour’s future, but only if he can successfully navigate the internal tensions and present a compelling vision that resonates with the electorate. As the Makerfield by-election looms, the outcome may serve as a litmus test for Burnham’s aspirations and Labour’s direction in the years to come.
