Andy Burnham’s Government: What Changes to Expect for Your Finances

Thomas Wright, Economics Correspondent
6 Min Read
⏱️ 4 min read

Andy Burnham’s ascent to Prime Minister marks a significant shift in the approach to the UK’s ongoing cost-of-living crisis. In a decisive move, he has announced the elimination of VAT on household electricity bills—a measure designed to alleviate financial burdens on families. This initiative is accompanied by a commitment to cap bus fares at £2 across England, part of Burnham’s broader strategy to provide economic relief. As he takes the helm, the Prime Minister aims to create more “breathing space” for individuals struggling with the rising costs of everyday life.

VAT Cut on Electricity Bills

Starting on 1 October, the government will remove VAT from domestic electricity bills, a change expected to save the average household approximately £45 annually. This initiative is a straightforward method to ease energy costs, particularly benefiting larger households that consume more electricity. However, it is important to note that energy prices continue to be primarily driven by the fluctuating wholesale gas market—factors largely outside government influence.

The Labour Party’s earlier promise to reduce energy bills by £300 by 2030 is still under scrutiny. Burnham has suggested that he wants to bring key essentials under public control to enhance affordability. A social tariff, which would provide discounted energy bills to vulnerable families funded by higher charges on wealthier households, is one proposal gaining traction among charities and regulators. Meanwhile, the total debt owed to energy suppliers has surged to a record £4.79 billion, highlighting the urgency of addressing unpaid energy bills, with many households now forced to choose between heating and eating.

Transport Policies and Bus Fare Cap

In his first week in office, Burnham announced a return to a £2 cap on bus fares in England, excluding London. This follows a recent rise to £3 under the previous Labour government led by Sir Keir Starmer. Burnham’s previous experience as the Mayor of Greater Manchester, where he made strides in improving public transport, is expected to inform his new policies. Notably, rail fares in England have also been frozen for the first time in 30 years, a measure that will remain in effect until March 2027, covering most commuter routes and some long-distance journeys.

While these fare caps aim to make public transport more accessible, they come at a time when demand is still recovering from the significant drop in usage due to the pandemic. The hope is that these changes will encourage more people to use public transport while easing the financial strain on daily commuters.

Income Tax and Fiscal Strategy

Burnham has indicated a desire to reassess the income tax threshold, potentially allowing individuals to earn more before facing taxation. However, he has refrained from making any immediate commitments, stating there is “no commitment at this point to change” and that discussions will take place during the upcoming budget. Current policy dictates that income tax and National Insurance thresholds will remain frozen until April 2031, which means as wages rise, a larger portion of income will be taxed—a strategy that has bolstered government revenues but may exacerbate the financial strain on households.

He has also hinted at the possibility of increasing taxes on higher earners to fund his initiatives, while adhering to the Labour manifesto’s promise not to raise the primary three taxes: income tax, National Insurance, and VAT. This cautious approach signals a commitment to fiscal responsibility, even as some tax reforms are being considered, such as modifications to capital gains tax and potential replacements for stamp duty and council tax.

Housing and First-Time Buyers

Addressing the housing crisis is another key focus for Burnham. He has expressed concerns over the lack of affordable housing, stating that not having sufficient homes leads to an unsustainable reliance on benefits within the private rental sector. His plan includes building more council homes to tackle the ongoing housing shortage, although simply increasing housing stock does not guarantee lower prices.

Support for first-time buyers is also on the agenda, with some lenders now offering loans that require smaller deposits. However, the “Bank of Mum and Dad” continues to play a pivotal role in helping young people secure mortgages, highlighting the ongoing challenges within the housing market. Ultimately, housing costs will be influenced heavily by the broader economic landscape and public sentiment towards Burnham’s leadership.

Why it Matters

Burnham’s proposed policies reflect a recognition of the pressing financial challenges facing many households in the UK. His government’s approach to VAT cuts, transport affordability, and potential tax reforms could reshape the financial landscape for millions. However, the effectiveness of these initiatives will largely depend on their execution and the government’s ability to navigate economic uncertainties. As Burnham embarks on this ambitious agenda, the real test will be whether these measures can deliver tangible improvements to the financial wellbeing of everyday Britons.

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Thomas Wright is an economics correspondent covering trade policy, industrial strategy, and regional economic development. With eight years of experience and a background reporting for The Economist, he excels at connecting macroeconomic data to real-world impacts on businesses and workers. His coverage of post-Brexit trade deals has been particularly influential.
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