The Gorton and Denton by-election in Greater Manchester has captured the attention of the nation, emerging as a pivotal moment for Sir Keir Starmer and the Labour Party. As polls closed on 26 February 2026, the results of this contest were poised to reflect not just the local political landscape, but also the current state of Labour’s leadership amid growing scrutiny. With the party previously dominating this constituency, a disappointing outcome could spell trouble for Starmer, who has faced mounting pressure in recent months.
A Seat Under Threat
Historically, Gorton and Denton has been a Labour stronghold, with the party securing over half the vote in the last general election in 2024. However, recent polling indicated a fierce competition with candidates from Reform UK and the Green Party. The stakes were high, as a loss or even a third-place finish could raise serious doubts about Starmer’s ability to lead effectively.
Labour’s candidate, Angeliki Stogia, was in a race not only to retain the seat but also to uphold the party’s reputation in a region that has become increasingly complex politically. Some Labour MPs expressed confidence that, regardless of the outcome, Starmer would not face an immediate challenge, particularly with local elections on the horizon. However, the potential for significant losses loomed large, with many observers suggesting that a poor performance could have dire implications for his leadership.
The Candidates and Their Campaigns
Among the candidates, Matt Goodwin from Reform UK and Hannah Spencer from the Green Party presented formidable challenges to Labour’s dominance. Goodwin, in particular, aimed to capitalize on any discontent among left-leaning voters, while Spencer sought to make history with a potential first by-election victory for the Greens.
The competition was fierce, with each party investing heavily in campaigning. Over 1,000 Labour activists descended upon the constituency, showcasing the party’s determination to maintain its foothold. Starmer himself made an appearance on the campaign trail, a move interpreted by many as a signal of optimism about the party’s chances.
Zack Polanski, the Green Party leader, was notably the first party leader to arrive at the count, a rare move that indicated his confidence in the party’s performance. His presence underscored the Green Party’s growing ambitions in what has traditionally been a Labour-dominated area.
Implications of the Result
The outcome of the Gorton and Denton by-election is set to prompt intense reflection within the Labour Party. Should Labour finish third, it would not only be a significant blow to Starmer’s leadership but also a clear signal that no constituency can be taken for granted, even those with a long history of Labour support. Conversely, if Labour manages to hold the seat, it would provide a much-needed respite amid ongoing challenges.
The wider implications for both Reform and the Greens are equally significant. For Reform UK, finishing behind Labour would raise questions about their viability as a serious political force, while the Greens would need to reassess their strategy if they fail to achieve a breakthrough in this contest.
Why it Matters
The Gorton and Denton by-election has become a barometer for the current political climate in the UK, reflecting broader discontent and shifting loyalties among voters. The results could not only redefine Labour’s standing in the region but also reshape the party’s approach as it heads into local and devolved elections on 7 May. With politics becoming increasingly volatile, the outcome of this by-election may ultimately influence the trajectory of British politics for years to come, making it a moment of great significance for all parties involved.
