Chancellor Rachel Reeves is under mounting pressure to reconsider her proposed increase in fuel duty as oil prices surge following escalating tensions in the Middle East. The recent US-Israeli military action against Iran, which resulted in the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has pushed oil prices above $80 per barrel, raising concerns about the potential impact on consumers and businesses.
Rising Oil Prices: A Cause for Concern
The geopolitical landscape in the Middle East has dramatically shifted, prompting fears of a significant spike in oil prices. Following the attacks over the weekend, analysts predict that prices could exceed $100 per barrel in the near future. This volatility in oil markets raises urgent questions about the affordability of fuel for UK motorists, already grappling with the persistent cost-of-living crisis.
In light of these developments, SNP economy spokesman Dave Doogan has voiced his concerns, urging the Chancellor to abandon her proposed fuel duty hikes. “With real fears that prices at the pump are now set to soar because of the situation in the Middle East, the Chancellor needs to scrap her price hike plans before motorists face a devastating double hit,” Doogan stated. He argues that the government should not further burden drivers and businesses already facing rising costs.
The Proposed Changes to Fuel Duty
Last year, the Chancellor announced plans to eliminate the long-standing fuel duty discount, which has been in place for many years. The proposed changes include an initial 1p increase in September, followed by two additional increments of 2p in the subsequent years. Such measures were intended to bolster government revenues, but the current geopolitical climate has thrown these plans into question.

Doogan highlighted that another tax hike would exacerbate an already challenging situation for families and businesses. “Everyone knows that Keir Starmer’s Labour Party has broken their promise to cut energy bills by £300. It would be another slap in the face for families if Labour made the cost-of-living crisis even worse with a plan that will inevitably increase prices,” he remarked.
Government’s Position on Fuel Duty
In response to the growing criticism, a Treasury spokesperson stated, “We have extended the 5p fuel duty cut from this month to the end of August to support drivers across the country.” This temporary relief is seen as a measure to alleviate some of the financial pressure on consumers, but many are questioning whether it will be sufficient in light of the potential for further increases in oil prices.
The Chancellor’s office has yet to indicate whether they will reconsider the planned hikes, but the rising prices and public sentiment may force a reassessment of their approach.
Economic Implications of Fuel Price Increases
The prospect of increased fuel duty comes at a time when many households are already struggling with rising costs. The likelihood of higher petrol prices could have a cascading effect on the economy, impacting not just individual consumers but also businesses reliant on transportation.

As costs rise, there is a genuine fear that inflation could spike further, straining household budgets and consumer confidence. With the public already facing a myriad of economic pressures, the government’s decisions in the coming weeks will be crucial in shaping the economic landscape.
Why it Matters
The potential for escalating fuel prices as a result of geopolitical tensions underscores the delicate balance the UK government must maintain between generating revenue and ensuring the economic well-being of its citizens. A failure to adequately address these concerns could lead to widespread discontent and further exacerbate the cost-of-living crisis, impacting households and businesses across the nation. As the Chancellor prepares for the upcoming spring statement, the pressure to adopt a more cautious approach to fuel duty hikes is palpable, reflecting broader anxieties about economic stability in an uncertain global context.