The UK is bracing for one of its busiest Easter bank holiday weekends in recent years, with nearly 21 million leisure journeys anticipated from Thursday through to Easter Monday. This surge in travel comes despite escalating fuel prices, influenced by ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. According to a recent study conducted by the RAC in collaboration with traffic analytics firm Inrix, the volume of trips is expected to rise significantly compared to previous years, marking the busiest Easter on the roads since 2022.
Anticipated Traffic Peaks
The AA has projected that Thursday will see the highest volume of traffic, coinciding with the end of term for many schools. This year, over half of those travelling plan to embark on short journeys of fewer than 50 miles. A significant number of drivers—approximately 20%—are looking to visit friends and family, while around 10% intend to enjoy outdoor activities such as walking or cycling. Additionally, 5% of motorists have expressed interest in heading to DIY stores or garden centres, reflecting a seasonal shift towards home improvement and gardening.
Lee Morley, an expert patrol with the AA, noted the enthusiasm surrounding the Easter getaway, saying, “After what feels like a very long, wet winter, lots of families are looking forward to the Easter break.” With promising weather forecasts, routes leading to coastal destinations are likely to experience heightened congestion, alongside roads in urban centres and retail parks.
Engineering Works and Travel Disruptions
In a bid to enhance the rail network, Network Rail has announced numerous essential engineering works scheduled for the bank holiday weekend. These upgrades, taking place at over 270 sites across Britain, are expected to divert many travellers to roadways, further intensifying traffic congestion.
The Association of British Travel Agents has reported that many holidaymakers whose plans have been disrupted by the conflict have opted for alternative destinations, including the western Mediterranean, the Caribbean, and direct flights to long-haul locations such as Thailand and South Africa.
Fuel Price Concerns
As the conflict in the Middle East continues, fuel prices have surged, causing concern among drivers. The RAC highlights that nearly a third (31%) of motorists are increasingly anxious about rising fuel costs since the onset of hostilities on 28 February. With crude oil prices exceeding $100 a barrel, the average cost of petrol in the UK has risen above 150p per litre for the first time since May 2024.
Filling a 55-litre family car with diesel this Easter will cost at least £19 more than last year’s figures, while petrol will see an increase of nearly £8. Despite these rising expenses, most individuals appear undeterred, with only 6% indicating they would alter their travel plans due to higher fuel costs.
Sean Kimberlin from the RAC remarked, “Despite fuel prices rising dramatically due to the conflict in the Middle East, our research suggests Easter remains incredibly important to people as it’s often the first chance to get away since Christmas or to meet up with friends and family.”
Additionally, the port of Dover anticipates a busy traffic flow, expecting around 37,000 vehicles to pass through during the Easter holidays. Chief executive Doug Bannister commented on the port’s preparedness for the anticipated spike in traffic, stating, “The port is preparing for a busy Easter getaway period, with an early increase in traffic expected from last Friday, followed by the predicted getaway volumes through to mid-April.”
Why it Matters
This Easter bank holiday is more than just a seasonal travel period; it reflects the resilience and determination of UK families to maintain traditions and connections despite external pressures like rising fuel costs and global conflicts. As millions hit the roads, it underscores the importance of family gatherings and leisure activities in enhancing well-being and community ties, particularly after a lengthy winter and recent challenges. The expected surge in traffic also highlights the need for careful planning and safety awareness among motorists, ensuring a safe journey for all.
