Ford’s Quarterly Profits Plummet Amid Rising Costs, Yet CEO Eyes Future Growth

Marcus Wong, Economy & Markets Analyst (Toronto)
5 Min Read
⏱️ 3 min read

Ford Motor Company has reported a staggering drop in its quarterly core profits, plummeting nearly 50 per cent to $1 billion. This downturn comes as the automaker grapples with unexpected expenses stemming from a fire at an aluminium supplier. Despite these challenges, CEO Jim Farley remains optimistic about the company’s potential for recovery and growth in the coming year, citing aggressive cost-cutting measures and the development of competitive new models.

Substantial Losses Reported

In its latest financial disclosures, Ford revealed a net loss of $11.1 billion for the fourth quarter, primarily due to significant, previously announced write-downs related to its electric vehicle (EV) initiatives. Adjusted earnings per share stood at 13 cents, falling short of analysts’ expectations of 19 cents per share. The company anticipates earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) will range between $8 billion and $10 billion by 2026, aligning closely with the median forecast of $8.78 billion from analysts.

The impact of former President Donald Trump’s tariffs is set to cost Ford approximately $2 billion this year, predominantly affecting aluminium sourcing for its popular F-150 trucks. The combination of these tariffs and a catastrophic fire at an aluminium plant near Oswego, New York, has significantly hampered profit margins. The plant, which suffered two major fires in the previous year, is still not fully operational, leading to costs that exceeded initial expectations.

Strategic Changes Ahead

In late December, Ford received revised guidance from the administration, resulting in lower-than-expected benefits from U.S. parts-production credits. This shift contributed to the company’s inability to meet its revised earnings guidance, with EBIT recorded at $6.8 billion for the year, just shy of the anticipated $7 billion mark.

Looking forward, Farley is determined to accelerate the development of cutting-edge models to contend with competitors both in North America and internationally. Ford is set to introduce a new electric pickup truck based on a $30,000 EV platform in the upcoming year, crafted by a dedicated team in California. This initiative is part of a broader strategy to establish a more agile design and production process, aiming to match the speed of Chinese automakers.

Collaboration and Cost Management

In a bid to enhance efficiency, Ford is pursuing partnerships with various automakers to share production costs. Notably, collaborations with Renault in Europe are underway to develop EVs, while talks with Chinese manufacturer Geely regarding technology and production partnerships are also in progress.

However, the road ahead remains fraught with challenges. Ford’s EV and software division recorded a loss of $4.8 billion last year, with projections indicating further losses of between $4 billion and $4.5 billion for the current year. The company’s quest for profitability in the EV sector is complicated by a decline in demand, exacerbated by the U.S. Congress’s elimination of the $7,500 consumer tax credit for electric vehicles.

Despite the financial setbacks, Ford’s stock has shown resilience, rising approximately 47 per cent over the past year to about $14 per share. In contrast, rival General Motors has experienced a more significant surge, with shares climbing over 70 per cent to around $80. Meanwhile, Stellantis has faced considerable challenges, seeing its stock price drop by 44 per cent to approximately $7 following its own write-downs related to EV production.

Why It Matters

Ford’s current financial turbulence underscores the complexities facing traditional automakers as they transition to electric vehicles amid rising operational costs. The company’s ability to innovate and adapt could determine its future viability in an increasingly competitive market. As the automotive landscape shifts, successful partnerships and strategic cost management will be crucial for Ford to regain its footing and thrive in the evolving global marketplace.

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