As the political landscape shifts ahead of the Gorton and Denton by-election later this month, Labour’s stronghold is under unprecedented scrutiny. With local MP Andrew Gwynne resigning following the revelation of offensive text messages, the party’s grip on this constituency appears tenuous. Candidates from various parties are gearing up for a contest that could reflect broader national sentiments as Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership faces increasing challenges.
A Historic Constituency in Flux
Gorton and Denton, situated in the south-east corner of Greater Manchester, has traditionally been a Labour bastion, with the party securing over half the vote just 18 months ago. However, the recent political turmoil and Gwynne’s departure have opened the door for potential shifts in voter loyalty. Labour’s selection of local councillor Angeliki Stogia as their candidate reflects an attempt to reassure constituents amidst this period of instability.
Stogia, who moved to Manchester from Greece three decades ago, emphasises her commitment to countering what she deems the “division” fostered by Reform UK. Meeting in a park, she expresses her determination to connect with voters and tackle pressing local issues, though her campaign strategy raises questions about the visibility of Sir Keir Starmer, who has yet to visit the constituency.
Rival Candidates Emerge
The competition is fierce, with Reform UK’s Matt Goodwin, a former academic turned media personality, posing a significant challenge. His campaign headquarters, a repurposed industrial unit, is bustling with activity as he rallies support. Goodwin critiques Labour’s historical complacency in the area, asserting that his party’s focus on immigration and integration resonates with disenchanted voters.
Meanwhile, the Green Party’s Hannah Spencer aims to capitalise on discontent within the electorate. A former plumber and current councillor, Spencer acknowledges her past comments about the constituency but frames them within her personal journey of growth and acceptance. Her campaign is also intertwined with a focus on international issues, particularly the situation in Gaza, which is a central concern for many constituents.
The Conservative Challenge
In the mix is Conservative candidate Charlotte Cadden, a former police officer with three decades of experience in law enforcement. Although her party’s previous performance in the constituency was lacklustre, Cadden remains optimistic. “I’m not ruling anything out,” she states, highlighting her local connections and extensive background in public service. Her candidacy illustrates the shifting dynamics that could see Conservatives reclaiming ground in an area long dominated by Labour.
A Divided Constituency
The Gorton and Denton constituency is emblematic of broader societal divides, characterised by a stark contrast between affluent areas and pockets of significant poverty. Political analyst Rob Ford describes it as “a tale of two Manchesters,” where the demographic split—40% Muslim in some areas versus a predominantly white population in others—creates a complex voting landscape. Local concerns, including littering and economic hardship, resonate deeply with voters, who are seeking tangible solutions from their representatives.
Why it Matters
The Gorton and Denton by-election is not simply a local contest; it serves as a litmus test for Labour’s national standing and the viability of Starmer’s leadership. As the party grapples with internal dissent and an unpredictable electorate, the outcome here could signal a turning point in the lead-up to the next general election. With political tensions running high and voter sentiment in flux, the results may have far-reaching implications for both Labour and the wider political climate in the UK.
