Keir Starmer’s leadership is at a crossroads as three pivotal roles within his administration become vacant, igniting a fierce competition among various factions for influence over government direction. The recent departures of key political aides, including chief of staff Morgan McSweeney and communications director Tim Allan, have raised expectations among Labour’s softer left for a potential shift in policy approach.
A Critical Moment for Starmer
The exits of McSweeney, who was instrumental in Labour’s strategy against the Reform Party, and Allan, perceived as a Blairite, have left a significant void in Starmer’s inner circle. This shake-up comes as the Prime Minister contemplates the future direction of his government. With Chris Wormald also dismissed as cabinet secretary, the opportunity arises for a more radical appointment, signalling a possible new chapter for Labour’s policy ambitions.
Antonia Romeo, currently the permanent secretary at the Home Office, is the frontrunner for the cabinet secretary position. She has garnered praise from Shabana Mahmood, and other names on the list include Minouche Shafik, Starmer’s economic adviser, and Louise Casey, the government’s lead non-executive director, despite her previous reluctance for the role.
Competing Visions for Leadership
Within Starmer’s camp, there is a palpable tension between competing ideologies. A faction advocating for a more authentic Starmer believes that aligning with his pro-European and internationalist instincts, while adopting a progressive stance on issues like net zero and immigration, could strengthen Labour’s appeal. This perspective aims to counter the growing influence of the Greens and other left-leaning parties.
Conversely, another group favours a strategy rooted in McSweeney’s approach, which prioritises addressing cost-of-living concerns, appealing to swing voters, and mitigating fears around immigration. Their strategy hinges on regaining support from traditional Labour voters, particularly amid the looming threat of Nigel Farage’s political resurgence.
Shuffling the Deck
Starmer faces the dual challenge of redefining his team’s structure while also ensuring it aligns with his political goals. Some insiders express doubt that merely changing the cabinet secretary will effect the necessary transformation, with one source stating, “The whole place needs completely overhauling.” This sentiment reflects broader concerns over the perceived dysfunction at No 10.
In an interim measure, Starmer has appointed co-chiefs of staff Vidhya Alakeson and Jill Cuthbertson, both of whom are seen as capable yet less prominent figures. This temporary arrangement allows Starmer to reclaim agency over his leadership while distancing himself from the previous administration’s controversies.
Names such as Amy Richards, Starmer’s political director, and Varun Chandra, a business adviser, have emerged as potential candidates for more influential roles. While Richards is well-respected within the parliamentary party, Chandra’s lack of political experience raises questions about his suitability.
Communications Conundrum
The director of communications role has seen a revolving door of aides, with Starmer having cycled through several individuals in a short time. There is a growing sentiment among Labour members that Steph Driver, a former director who was well-regarded by the media, should be reinstated to stabilise communications going forward. “If they had any sense, Number 10 would go cap in hand to Steph Driver this afternoon and beg her to come back on whatever terms she wants,” remarked a Labour source.
Additionally, Darren Jones, the chief secretary to the prime minister, has emerged as a significant figure in No 10, already fulfilling some enforcement duties that may align with a chief of staff role.
Why it Matters
Starmer’s ability to navigate this tumultuous period will significantly impact Labour’s electoral prospects. As the party grapples with internal divisions and external challenges, it is crucial that he fosters a cohesive narrative that unites both the cabinet and the wider party. Failure to do so may not only jeopardise his leadership but also Labour’s chance to reclaim public trust ahead of the next election. The stakes are high, and how Starmer responds in the coming weeks will be critical to shaping the future of his government and the party as a whole.
