Trump’s Aspirations for Iranian Oil: A Dangerous Game of Geopolitics

Chris Palmer, Climate Reporter
6 Min Read
⏱️ 4 min read

Donald Trump has reignited his controversial ambition to seize control of Iran’s vital Kharg Island, a significant oil export hub. This declaration, made over the weekend, underscores a long-standing perspective that many experts describe as “fossil-fuel imperialism,” highlighting a troubling disregard for international norms. As tensions escalate in the region, the implications of his statements could reverberate far beyond the Middle East.

A Dangerous Declaration

During recent remarks, Trump asserted his desire to “take the oil in Iran,” signalling a blatant intent to control a key resource that accounts for 90% of the nation’s oil exports. This rhetoric is not new for Trump, who has advocated for aggressive measures against Iran for over a decade. Patrick Bigger, co-director of the Transition Security Project, argues that such beliefs reflect an entitlement mentality regarding global resources. “It’s a real ‘might-makes-right’ logic that is both abhorrent and spectacularly miscalculated,” he stated, emphasising the dangerous implications of such a mindset.

On Wednesday, Trump plans to address the ongoing conflict in Iran, having claimed just a day earlier that the war could conclude within weeks. This optimism led to a surge in stock market activity, as investors anticipated a potential de-escalation. Yet, Iran has made it clear that any cessation of hostilities would require guarantees against future aggression, complicating the prospect of peace.

Escalating Tensions

As tensions rise, Iran has retaliated by attacking a fully loaded crude oil tanker at Dubai port. The situation remains precarious, with Trump warning that if the critical Strait of Hormuz is not reopened “immediately,” the U.S. may resort to “blowing up and completely obliterating” Iran’s energy infrastructure. Following the outbreak of war in February, Iran has effectively closed the Strait to most commercial traffic, heightening the stakes for global oil supply.

Kharg Island, a mere five miles long, is a linchpin of Iran’s oil exports. Trump’s previous comments, including his desire to have U.S. forces take control of the island, raise significant legal and ethical questions. Amir Handjani, an energy lawyer at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, emphasises this point: “Waging war to obtain another country’s national resources is illegal. There is no legal framework for going to war to take the natural resources of sovereign countries,” he said.

The Risks of Military Action

The logistics of launching a full assault on Kharg Island are daunting. Iranian missiles have rendered many U.S. bases in the region vulnerable, complicating any ground operations. A military takeover would likely provoke severe retaliation from Iran, potentially destabilising the global economy. Handjani warns that if Iran perceives its oil infrastructure is under threat, it may respond by targeting oil-producing facilities in neighbouring Arab countries. Such a tit-for-tat scenario could drive oil prices to unthinkable heights, with estimates suggesting they could soar to $200 or $300 a barrel.

The ongoing conflict has already taken a heavy toll, claiming thousands of lives and causing unprecedented disruptions to global energy supplies. While the war wreaks havoc on communities, fossil fuel companies are reaping immense profits, further complicating the situation. Bigger notes that elevated oil prices are incentivising increased drilling in the U.S., perpetuating reliance on fossil fuels and undermining long-term efforts to transition to cleaner energy sources.

The Broader Implications

Trump’s statements reflect a broader philosophy that prioritises fossil fuel domination over diplomatic solutions. He has long echoed sentiments suggesting that the U.S. has the right to seize oil from countries like Iraq and Syria under the guise of military intervention. This pattern of thought aligns with a troubling trend of equating military might with resource acquisition, a stance that not only threatens international stability but also undermines global efforts to combat climate change.

In essence, Trump’s aggressive rhetoric serves to expose a willingness to destabilise the international order in pursuit of resource control. This “fossil-fuel imperialism” could have catastrophic consequences for the geopolitical landscape and the environment alike, raising urgent questions about the future of U.S. foreign policy.

Why it Matters

The pursuit of oil through military intervention is not merely a geopolitical strategy; it represents a fundamental challenge to international law and ethical governance. As the world grapples with the realities of climate change and resource depletion, Trump’s approach risks entrenching a cycle of conflict and environmental degradation. The implications of his statements extend far beyond the immediate conflict in Iran, setting a dangerous precedent for how global powers may engage with sovereign nations over natural resources in the future.

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Chris Palmer is a dedicated climate reporter who has covered environmental policy, extreme weather events, and the energy transition for seven years. A trained meteorologist with a journalism qualification from City University London, he combines scientific understanding with compelling storytelling. He has reported from UN climate summits and covered major environmental disasters across Europe.
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