The policies implemented by former President Donald Trump during his administration have inadvertently bolstered China’s global standing, allowing it to surpass the United States in various sectors. As the effects of his “America First” agenda continue to unfold, analysts argue that Trump’s actions have weakened US competitiveness and strained vital alliances, ultimately benefiting China.
The Illusion of Competitive Strategy
Trump approached China as a strategic adversary, often expressing concerns over its growing influence and economic prowess. His administration highlighted the need to counter China’s ambitions, which were seen as threats to American security and prosperity. However, many experts believe that Trump’s erratic decision-making and lack of a cohesive strategy have instead provided China with opportunities to advance its interests.
For instance, his aggressive stance on scientific research has eroded the US’s competitive edge, particularly in emerging technologies. Moreover, the trade war initiated by Trump backfired, with China managing to emerge relatively unscathed, forcing Trump to backtrack on tariffs that were intended to cripple its economy. The long-term repercussions of these policies are evident as China takes the lead in critical industries such as electric vehicles, renewable energy, and battery production.
The Deterioration of Alliances
The ramifications of Trump’s foreign policy extend beyond economic competition; they have also significantly impacted the United States’ relationships with traditional allies. His confrontational approach towards nations like Canada, coupled with derogatory remarks, has pushed these countries to seek closer ties with China. Canada, for instance, has recently established a strategic partnership with China to navigate new global realities, a move that underscores the shifting dynamics in international relations.
The response from other allies has been similar. South Korea’s recent agreements with China, and the thawing of relations between the UK and China, illustrate a broader trend of nations reassessing their alliances in light of perceived unreliability from the US. This diplomatic realignment can be traced back to what Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney describes as a “rupture in the world order” caused by Trump’s policies.
A Shift in Global Perception
Recent surveys reveal a concerning trend: a growing number of people in various countries now regard China as the leading economic power, with a Pew Research study indicating that, for the first time, a greater percentage of respondents view China as dominant over the US. This shift in perception highlights the effectiveness of China’s diplomatic strategies in contrast to the US’s variable foreign policy under Trump.
Furthermore, the National Security Strategy released by Trump’s administration notably refrained from designating China as a strategic rival, despite clear evidence of its military and technological advancement. This oversight reflects a significant disconnect between the administration’s rhetoric and the realities of global power dynamics.
Challenges Ahead for the US
As Trump continues to advocate for his vision of American greatness, the international landscape is rapidly evolving. The former president’s reversal of policies aimed at maintaining a technological advantage over China, such as the sale of advanced AI chips, raises concerns among national security experts. Jake Sullivan, Biden’s national security adviser, has publicly criticized this decision, highlighting the dangers of compromising US technological superiority.
The fallout from Trump’s trade policies has been equally damaging. By rolling back tariffs, he inadvertently showcased China’s resilience and ability to navigate economic challenges posed by the US. As a result, China’s trade surplus reached a record high, underscoring its position as a formidable player in the global market.
Why it Matters
The implications of Trump’s presidency extend far beyond the United States; they resonate throughout the international arena. With a notable decline in trust from allies and a growing perception of China as a dominant force, the US faces a critical juncture in its foreign policy. To reclaim its standing as a global leader, Trump—or any future administration—must foster stronger relationships with allies, support democratic values, and develop a coherent strategy that genuinely prioritises American interests over transient political gains. In the absence of such efforts, the trajectory towards a diminished US stature and an empowered China appears increasingly inevitable.
