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In a surprising turn of weather, cocoa farmers in Ivory Coast, the world’s foremost cocoa producer, are experiencing a welcome boost from unexpected light rains. These conditions are promising for the upcoming mid-crop season, which runs from April to September. Despite the country being in its typical dry season, which spans from mid-November to March, farmers are optimistic that this moisture will enhance crop yields significantly, as they navigate a difficult market marked by declining global prices.
Unforeseen Weather Patterns
Last week, key cocoa-growing regions across Ivory Coast received beneficial rainfall, which has instilled a sense of optimism among farmers. Romain Koua, a farmer near Yamoussoukro, reported that the 14.5 mm of rain recorded was 7.9 mm above the five-year average, significantly aiding the development of small cocoa pods already on trees. “The trees are doing well. Starting in May, we will have enough cocoa,” Koua shared, highlighting the positive impact of this unexpected precipitation.
Farmers in other regions, such as Bongouanou and Daloa, also reported favourable weather conditions. While Bongouanou saw above-average rainfall, Daloa experienced slightly below-average conditions but still remains hopeful for a gradual increase in mid-crop harvesting from May onwards. Dominique N’Takpe, a farmer near Agboville, noted, “Many small pods are growing larger. We hope that the beans will be large,” as he observed 22.8 mm of rain, which was 14.5 mm above the five-year average for that area.
Economic Pressures and Market Challenges
While the weather brings hope, the cocoa industry in Ivory Coast is grappling with a significant economic crisis. Global cocoa prices have plummeted since October, leading to a build-up of unsold stocks and threatening the livelihoods of many farmers. The Synapci union, representing cocoa producers, estimates that around 700,000 tons of cocoa remain unsold, resulting in severe financial strain on farmers who have not been paid for their produce in nearly two months.
In response to this crisis, the Ivorian government has announced plans to purchase unsold cocoa stocks to maintain export levels and ensure that farmers receive their due payments. This move is crucial, as many farmers have been left with no choice but to sell their cocoa at a loss or, in dire situations, destroy spoiled beans.
Looking Ahead
As the mid-crop season approaches, the current weather conditions present a silver lining for cocoa producers. Farmers are hopeful that consistent weekly rainfall through mid-March will lead to a harvest that exceeds last year’s outputs. The overall climate for this season is being viewed more favourably than in previous years, providing a much-needed boost to an industry under pressure.
The temperature in the cocoa-growing regions has remained stable, ranging from 27.9 to 31.7 degrees Celsius, which is conducive to the growth of cocoa plants. As farmers gear up for the next few months, there is cautious optimism that the combination of improved weather and government intervention may help alleviate some of the economic hardships faced by these vital producers.
Why it Matters
The situation in Ivory Coast underscores the intricate connection between climate, agriculture, and global markets. As the world’s leading cocoa supplier, the health of the Ivorian cocoa industry is crucial not only for local farmers but also for global chocolate production. The current challenges posed by fluctuating market prices and unsold stocks highlight the vulnerabilities within agricultural supply chains. By addressing these economic pressures through government support and weather-related optimism, there is potential for a more sustainable future for cocoa farmers, ensuring their livelihoods and the stability of this essential industry.
