In a surprising move, former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner has signalled her support for Andy Burnham’s potential candidacy in the upcoming Gorton and Denton by-election. Rayner, who resigned from her government role last year following a breach of the ministerial code, is expected to make a public announcement backing Burnham’s bid at Labour’s North West regional conference on Saturday.
Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, has until 5pm on Saturday to inform the Labour Party’s National Executive Committee (NEC) of his intention to stand. However, some of Sir Keir Starmer’s supporters on the NEC are reportedly seeking to block Burnham’s candidacy, citing concerns that it could trigger an election for the Greater Manchester mayoralty, which could be a drain on party funds and politically risky.
Rayner’s support for Burnham could make it more difficult for the NEC to prevent his progress. The former deputy prime minister retains strong backing among backbench MPs and party members, and her endorsement could sway the committee’s decision.
The by-election, which is expected to take place as early as next month, was triggered by the resignation of former Labour minister Andrew Gwynne, who cited health concerns. Labour won the Gorton and Denton seat in the 2024 general election with a comfortable 13,000 majority, but the party’s recent drop in popularity means a victory is not guaranteed.
Burnham has so far remained tight-lipped on his plans, telling reporters on Thursday that he is “focused” on his role as Manchester mayor and that people should not “rush to conclusions.” However, the tight timetable is putting pressure on him to make a quick decision, which could have significant implications for his political future.
Labour MPs are divided on the prospect of Burnham’s return to Westminster. While some, like Jo White, leader of the Red Wall group, have expressed support, others, such as Graham Stringer, MP for Blackley and Middleton South in Greater Manchester, have cautioned against the move, citing the high-risk nature of by-elections.
The potential Burnham candidacy has also reignited speculation about a possible leadership challenge to Sir Keir Starmer, with Rayner and Health Secretary Wes Streeting also touted as possible contenders. However, Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy has urged caution, warning that a change in leadership would trigger a general election, which the party may not be prepared for.
As the Labour Party navigates these complex political waters, the Gorton and Denton by-election has the potential to have far-reaching consequences for the party’s future direction and leadership.
