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Andy Burnham, the Labour candidate for the upcoming Makerfield by-election, has asserted that the UK’s net migration figures must decrease further, following the release of new statistics indicating a significant drop. The current mayor of Greater Manchester has been vocal about the concerns raised by constituents regarding immigration, stating that the trend is moving in the right direction but still requires more stringent measures.
Recent Migration Data
The Office for National Statistics revealed that net migration added 171,000 individuals to the UK population last year, marking the lowest level since 2012, not including the anomalies caused by the Covid pandemic. In response, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer acknowledged the progress but emphasised that there is still “more to do.” Burnham echoed this sentiment, arguing for a balanced approach to immigration policy as the government contemplates making it more challenging for migrants to secure permanent residency.
“The latest figures demonstrate a significant downward trend in migration,” Burnham remarked, underscoring the importance of addressing public concerns. He supports the general direction of proposals put forth by Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood, who argues that these changes are essential to prevent a “drain on our public finances.”
Controversial Policy Changes
Despite backing Mahmood’s proposals, Burnham faces dissent within his party. Notably, former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner has referred to the retrospective elements of the proposed changes as “un-British,” suggesting that they undermine established norms. Burnham reiterated the need for careful consultation on these plans, stating, “We’ll have to work hard to get the balance right, but the broad thrust of what she’s doing is right.”

The implications of changing settlement criteria, which currently allows migrants to apply for indefinite leave to remain, could be substantial. The Home Office has projected that approximately 1.6 million people may settle in the UK between 2026 and 2030 if no policy changes are enacted.
Shifts in Social Policy Stance
In a related development, Burnham has expressed a shift in his views regarding single-sex spaces. Following guidance from the Equalities and Human Rights Commission, which asserts that access to these areas should be determined by biological sex, Burnham stated that he now accepts this ruling. He acknowledged that the debate surrounding trans inclusion has evolved, remarking, “I’ll be honest, yes, my position has changed.”
While he advocates for a balanced approach that respects the rights and concerns of all individuals, he emphasised the importance of not further marginalising vulnerable groups. “This should not be a kind of victory over other people in society,” he noted.
Political Landscape in Makerfield
As Burnham campaigns to return to Westminster, he positions himself as a candidate for change within Labour, promising voters a party that reflects its traditional values. His campaign launch framed the upcoming election as a critical juncture for Labour, particularly in light of recent disappointing results under Starmer’s leadership.

Starmer’s commitment to support Burnham in the by-election underscores the stakes involved, as Labour faces a genuine challenge from the Reform UK candidate, Robert Kenyon. Kenyon, who previously garnered significant support in the 2024 elections, has articulated that Labour has taken the Makerfield constituency for granted, suggesting that “safe seats are massively under threat.” This sentiment has been echoed by Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch, who has expressed concern that the by-election serves to resolve internal Labour conflicts rather than address constituents’ needs.
Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats have selected Jake Austin as their candidate, while the Green Party is poised to announce a replacement for their initial candidate, who withdrew shortly after being named.
Why it Matters
The implications of Burnham’s call for stricter immigration controls and his evolving stance on social policies highlight a broader struggle within the Labour Party and the UK political landscape. As the nation grapples with changing demographics and social norms, the decisions made in the Makerfield by-election could signal a pivotal shift in Labour’s approach, potentially reshaping party dynamics and voter perceptions in the lead-up to the next general election. The outcome may not only reflect local sentiments but also serve as a bellwether for national trends in immigration and social policy, making this election one to watch closely.