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In a significant move that underscores the shifting dynamics within the Labour Party, Andy Burnham has reportedly sought guidance from former chief of staff to Keir Starmer, Sue Gray, as he contemplates a potential return to Westminster. The discussions come at a time when Labour’s internal power plays are intensifying, particularly ahead of the pivotal Makerfield by-election, where Burnham’s political future could hinge on the outcome.
A Long-Standing Relationship
Burnham and Gray share a history that stretches back decades to his tenure as a minister in Tony Blair’s administration, when Gray was serving in the Cabinet Office. Their relationship, forged in the corridors of power, has been reignited as Labour grapples with its recent electoral setbacks and the looming question of leadership succession. While Gray’s insights could prove invaluable, it is understood that she is not likely to take on any formal role in a potential future government.
Gray’s departure from Downing Street in October 2024 was marred by controversy, with allegations of her managing style prompting accusations of creating a bottleneck in decision-making processes. This tumultuous exit has left her reputation somewhat tarnished, yet her experience remains a sought-after asset within Labour’s upper echelons.
The Stakes in Makerfield
As Labour prepares for the Makerfield by-election, the stakes could not be higher. Allies of Burnham assert that he remains focused on this critical contest, which could serve as a barometer for Labour’s direction under Starmer’s leadership. Recent polling indicates that Labour is narrowly ahead, with Burnham securing 43% compared to 40% for Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon. Such a close contest in what has traditionally been Labour’s stronghold raises alarms about the party’s electoral viability.
Darren Jones, the chief secretary to the Treasury and a prominent figure within Labour, expressed frustration over the internal manoeuvring that has characterised recent months. Speaking on the BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg, he remarked, “There’s a lot of fantasy politics going on right now inside the Labour party,” emphasising the need for focused discussions that address the pressing issues facing the country rather than individual ambitions.
Rising Tensions Among Leadership Contenders
As Burnham’s campaign gains momentum, the landscape within Labour is becoming increasingly competitive. Wes Streeting, viewed as a potential contender for leadership, has been actively supporting Burnham, alongside deputy leader Lucy Powell and chief whip Jonathan Reynolds. Streeting’s calls for a “wealth tax that works” and a “proper contest” regarding Labour’s future direction indicate the rising tensions within the party as different factions vie for influence.
The internal debates come on the heels of a recent Survation survey that placed Labour at 30% nationally under Burnham’s potential leadership, just ahead of Reform UK at 27% and the Conservatives at 20%. The shifting political tides have prompted various party figures to rally behind Burnham, recognising the significance of the Makerfield by-election as a litmus test for Labour’s future.
Policy Over Personality
Amidst the swirling speculation about leadership, former foreign secretary David Miliband recently emphasised the importance of policy over personality at the Hay literary festival. He argued that while the government has made strides in various areas, including apprenticeships and renewable energy, the pace of change needs to accelerate significantly. “If those who are arguing to change the prime minister don’t change the policy, nothing will be different,” he cautioned, underscoring a critical need for Labour to focus on substantive reforms rather than mere leadership changes.
As discussions about potential cabinet appointments swirl—amid reports that Miliband’s brother, Ed, could become chancellor should Burnham ascend to No 10—the calls for clarity in policy direction remain paramount. Miliband’s assertion that the “what” matters more than the “who” is a reminder that Labour’s pathway to electoral success relies on robust policies that resonate with the electorate.
Why it Matters
The unfolding saga of Andy Burnham’s strategic consultations with Sue Gray and the internal power dynamics within Labour reflect a party at a crossroads. As Labour grapples with its identity and electoral strategy, the outcome of the Makerfield by-election could signify more than just a contest for a parliamentary seat—it may well determine the future trajectory of the party itself. With pressure mounting from within and outside, Labour must navigate these turbulent waters carefully if it hopes to reclaim its status as a formidable political force in the UK.