Canada’s Wine Industry Poised for Growth with Policy Changes

Marcus Wong, Economy & Markets Analyst (Toronto)
6 Min Read
⏱️ 4 min read

Canada’s wine sector, currently valued at over $10 billion annually, stands on the brink of significant expansion. A newly released report from Deloitte, commissioned by Wine Growers of Canada, highlights that with strategic adjustments—such as eliminating domestic trade barriers—the industry could boost its worth to an impressive $13.7 billion over the next 15 years. This growth would not only elevate wine sales but also benefit related sectors like transportation and tourism, which are expected to flourish as a result.

Domestic Market Potential

The report emphasises the need for Canadians to source at least 51 per cent of their wine from local producers to realise this potential. Currently, the domestic market has stagnated at about 40 per cent penetration for nearly two decades. Dan Paszkowski, president of Wine Growers of Canada, noted that the increase in domestic consumption will primarily come from reducing imports rather than merely ramping up overall wine sales.

“Increasing domestic sales isn’t just about selling more,” he remarked. “We need to gradually replace imports to reach that 51 per cent target.”

Barriers to Growth

One of the major hurdles faced by Canadian wineries is the existing provincial trade barriers that prevent consumers from purchasing directly from out-of-province wineries. Paszkowski pointed out the frustration of tourists who visit wineries only to find they cannot ship their purchases home.

Barriers to Growth

“We’re probably the only retail sector in the country that has to say no to consumers,” he stated. “This limitation is detrimental to our growth, especially with four million tourists visiting our wineries each year.”

In contrast, the United States allows direct-to-consumer shipping in 48 states, a policy that has significantly contributed to the expansion of the Californian wine industry, now valued at approximately US$67.5 billion.

Carl Sparkes, owner of Nova Scotia’s Devonian Coast Wineries, echoed these sentiments. He recalled a time when he shipped a case of his wine to every Canadian premier, accompanied by a letter referencing the constitutional clause that allows the free movement of agricultural products across provincial borders.

“Any Canadian should have the ability to order directly from a winery,” he argued, highlighting the irony of modern consumers ordering goods from around the globe yet being unable to purchase local wine from neighbouring provinces.

Provincial Regulations and Future Prospects

While the federal government has reduced restrictions on interprovincial alcohol trade, provincial regulations remain a significant barrier. Only three provinces—British Columbia, Manitoba, and Nova Scotia—currently permit direct-to-consumer shipments from other regions. Others, like Alberta and Ontario, have initiated agreements to ease these restrictions, albeit gradually.

Last year, a memorandum of understanding was signed by ten provinces and territories, expressing commitment to explore the creation of a direct-to-consumer system. Paszkowski anticipates that an announcement regarding a fully integrated market, focusing on harmonisation of shipping, compliance, and tax collection, could be forthcoming.

The wine industry in Canada is primarily centred around four key regions: British Columbia’s Okanagan Valley, Ontario’s Niagara region, Quebec’s Eastern Townships, and Nova Scotia’s Annapolis Valley. Each bottle of Canadian wine contributes approximately $89.99 to the economy, in stark contrast to just $15.73 for imported bottles.

A Call for Fair Taxation

In addition to trade barriers, the wine sector advocates for a review of the federal excise tax framework, which they argue places Canadian wineries at a disadvantage. The current tax rate for Canadian wine containing more than seven per cent alcohol is 74.5 cents per litre, compared to just 39 cents per litre in the U.S. and a mere six cents in France. Paszkowski pointed out the significant financial burden this creates for local producers, which hampers their ability to compete effectively with their international counterparts.

A Call for Fair Taxation

“Canadian wineries can end up paying hundreds of thousands of dollars more in taxes than their U.S. peers,” he noted. “This creates an uneven playing field that stifles our growth potential.”

In 2022, the Canadian government introduced the $166 million Wine Sector Support Program, aimed at assisting the industry in adapting to challenges. This initiative was renewed in 2024 with an additional $177 million, but as it nears its conclusion, many in the sector are advocating for further long-term investment to ensure stability.

“If we are serious about fostering growth and retaining investment in Canada, we need predictable policies that inspire confidence among wineries,” Sparkes concluded. “What we plant today won’t yield for years, so we need that assurance to thrive in this long-term business.”

Why it Matters

The future of Canada’s wine industry hinges on the resolution of domestic trade barriers and the reform of an outdated tax structure. By fostering an environment that promotes local production and facilitates consumer access, Canada stands to not only enhance its wine sector but also invigorate related industries, ultimately contributing to a more robust national economy.

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