Canadian Wine Sector Poised for Growth with Strategic Changes, Says Deloitte Report

Marcus Wong, Economy & Markets Analyst (Toronto)
6 Min Read
⏱️ 5 min read

Canada’s wine industry, currently valued at over $10 billion annually, stands on the brink of significant expansion if key domestic trade barriers are dismantled. A recent report by Deloitte, commissioned by the Wine Growers of Canada, highlights that encouraging Canadians to purchase at least 51 per cent of their wine from local producers over the next 15 years could elevate the sector’s worth to an impressive $13.7 billion. This growth would also have a ripple effect on associated industries, including shipping and tourism, which play crucial roles in the wine economy.

Market Potential and Current Challenges

The Canadian wine market has stagnated at approximately 40 per cent domestic sales for nearly two decades. According to Dan Paszkowski, president of the Wine Growers of Canada, achieving the 51 per cent target will not come from merely increasing overall wine sales across the country. Instead, it will require a strategic displacement of imported wines over time.

Paszkowski noted, “We’re not going to be reaching 51 per cent by increasing wine sales across Canada. We’re going to be increasing to 51 per cent by displacing imports over time.” This approach mirrors trends in leading wine-producing nations, where local products dominate sales. For instance, in France, domestic wines account for a staggering 83 per cent of purchases.

Direct-to-Consumer Sales: A Crucial Step

A significant reform sought by Canadian wineries is the ability for consumers to purchase wine directly from out-of-province wineries for personal use. Paszkowski explained that retail outlets often lack the capacity to stock every product available, primarily focusing on larger volumes, which poses challenges for smaller wineries.

“We’re probably the only retail sector in the country that has to say no to a consumer when they come and visit our winery and say, ‘Can you ship this to my home province?’” he lamented. “We can’t legally do it yet. And that really is hurtful to the growth of the industry because we have four million tourists come and visit our wineries every year.”

In stark contrast, the U.S. allows direct-to-consumer shipping in 48 states, a model that has propelled the California wine sector’s value to approximately US$67.5 billion by 2024.

Provincial Trade Barriers and Their Impact

Despite some progress, provincial regulations still limit the wine industry’s growth. Currently, only British Columbia, Manitoba, and Nova Scotia permit unrestricted direct-to-consumer shipments from other provinces. Other regions have begun to relax their rules, with Alberta forming an agreement with British Columbia and Ontario signing a memorandum with Nova Scotia earlier this spring. Meanwhile, New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island are working on legislation to facilitate easier wine shipments across borders.

Last year, a collective of ten provinces and territories signed a memorandum of understanding to explore a direct-to-consumer system. Paszkowski anticipates an announcement soon regarding the establishment of a cohesive market that will address shipping, compliance, and taxation.

While wineries exist in every province, the Canadian wine landscape is mainly shaped by four regional clusters: the Okanagan Valley in British Columbia, the Niagara region in Ontario, Quebec’s Eastern Townships, and the Annapolis Valley in Nova Scotia. Notably, each bottle of 100 per cent Canadian wine generates approximately $89.99 for the economy, compared to a mere $15.73 for imported bottles, showcasing the broader economic benefits of supporting local producers.

Taxation Disparities and Future Investments

The wine industry is also advocating for reforms to an uncompetitive federal excise tax structure that currently places local wines at a disadvantage. The excise tax for Canadian wines containing more than seven per cent alcohol is 74.5 cents per litre, whereas the U.S. imposes a significantly lower rate of about 39 cents per litre, and France charges approximately six cents.

Paszkowski emphasised, “A Canadian winery in the Niagara region can end up paying hundreds of thousands of dollars more in tax than a counterpart across the border.” This discrepancy hampers the ability of Canadian wineries to scale operations and remain competitive.

To support the industry, the federal government launched the $166-million Wine Sector Support Program in 2022, which was renewed in 2024 with an additional $177 million. However, as this funding nears its conclusion, the sector is pushing for further long-term investment to ensure stability.

“If we’re serious about growing the sector and keeping the investment here at home, we need stable, predictable policy that gives wineries the confidence to invest here,” stated Carl Sparkes, owner of Nova Scotia’s Devonian Coast Wineries. “We’re in a long-term business. What we plant today won’t produce for years. And that level of predictability is critical.”

Why it Matters

The Canadian wine industry holds untapped potential for economic expansion, with proposed changes to trade regulations and tax structures poised to bolster local production and sales. As the country navigates these opportunities, the importance of fostering a robust domestic market will not only benefit wineries but also contribute to a thriving tourism sector and support local economies. By addressing the barriers to direct-to-consumer sales and advocating for fairer taxation, Canada could position itself as a competitive player on the global wine stage while celebrating the richness of its own terroir.

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