In a developing political saga, allies of Andy Burnham, the Mayor of Greater Manchester, have alleged that Downing Street is orchestrating a campaign to sabotage his chances in the upcoming by-election for Makerfield. Concerns have emerged within the Labour Party regarding the leadership’s lukewarm support for Burnham, particularly in light of whispers suggesting that his success could pave the way for a return of former leader Jeremy Corbyn, who was expelled from the party in 2024 over antisemitism allegations.
Allegations of a Dirty Tricks Campaign
Sources close to Burnham have expressed fears that the Labour leadership intends to adopt a “soft-play” approach, encouraging MPs to support Burnham without issuing a strict three-line whip. This strategy could hinder his campaign in a constituency where the Reform Party recently made significant electoral gains, winning nearly all local council seats.
An insider has indicated that Reform’s candidate might be local plumber and councillor Robert Kenyon, although speculation now points to Dr David Bull, who resigned as party chairman earlier this week. Many Labour backbenchers are sceptical about the party’s prospects in Makerfield, which could further complicate Burnham’s ambitions.
Starmer’s Position in the Spotlight
Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has publicly stated his commitment to support the chosen Labour candidate “100 per cent,” yet he refrained from outlining a timetable for his own departure, despite the ongoing leadership crisis. His reluctance to set a clear path forward has prompted criticism from various quarters within the party.
“Can I be really clear, as I was with my staff as well, it is a fight between Labour and Reform,” Starmer said. “It’s a very important fight. I’ll be 100 per cent behind whoever the Labour candidate is.”
The internal dynamics have escalated, with Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy accusing Labour MPs of undermining their own efforts to unseat Starmer. Meanwhile, a prominent ally of Burnham has condemned the culture of politicking within the party, suggesting that both members and the wider electorate deserve a higher standard of governance than what has been offered.
Burnham’s Vision for Leadership
In a recent speech delivered in Leeds, Burnham articulated his vision for the future, asserting that a vote for him in the by-election would signify a commitment to making life more affordable and revitalising local industries. His ambition is palpable, and many within the party view his potential victory as a turning point for Labour.
Polling experts have weighed in, with Professor Sir John Curtice and Lord Robert Hayward predicting that Burnham’s success in Makerfield could position him as the next Labour leader. Despite the formidable challenges posed by the Reform Party, Burnham’s strong local presence may prove advantageous.
However, the shifting political landscape presents significant hurdles, particularly concerning Brexit. Some analysts have pointed out that Burnham’s stance on EU membership could alienate pro-Leave constituents, complicating his campaign strategy.
The Stakes of the By-Election
As the by-election campaign unfolds, the internal fractures within Labour are becoming increasingly evident. The coalition of support for Burnham—spanning various ideological factions—appears to be under strain. Allies have noted that Burnham must navigate these divisions carefully, balancing the expectations of both the Socialist Campaign Group and more centrist factions within the party.
In light of these developments, the political climate surrounding the by-election is rife with tension and uncertainty. The potential for Burnham to ascend to the leadership, should he secure a victory, raises the stakes not just for Labour but for the broader political landscape in the UK.
Why it Matters
The implications of the Makerfield by-election extend far beyond local politics; they could reshape the future of the Labour Party and influence national governance. With Burnham positioned as a possible successor to Starmer, the outcome will either reinforce or challenge the current leadership’s direction. As factions within Labour grapple with fundamental ideological divides, the by-election will serve as a critical litmus test for the party’s viability in the face of rising opposition from Reform and other parties. The unfolding drama is a vivid reminder of the complexities of British politics, where ambition, strategy, and grassroots sentiment intersect in unpredictable ways.