The political landscape within the Labour Party is shifting dramatically following Andy Burnham’s decisive victory in the Makerfield by-election. This win has intensified calls from within the party for current leader Sir Keir Starmer to outline a timeline for his resignation, potentially paving the way for Burnham to ascend to the leadership without the disruption of a protracted contest. The pressure on Starmer is mounting as key party figures openly suggest he should yield to the former Greater Manchester mayor.
Burnham’s Moment: A Call for Change
Burnham’s resounding victory, in which he boosted Labour’s share of the vote by ten percentage points and outpaced the Reform UK candidate by over 9,000 votes, has galvanised his supporters. His performance has sparked discussions about his potential candidacy for Labour leader and even Prime Minister. In a celebratory address at Ashton Town Football Club, Burnham described his win as an opportunity to “turn the tide” in British politics, vowing to carry the “energy” of the campaign forward into a new era.
In the aftermath of the by-election, Labour MPs have begun to voice their concerns over Starmer’s leadership. Some, including Transport Secretary Heidi Alexander and Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper, have urged him to consider stepping aside. Their calls reflect a growing sentiment among party members that a leadership change might be necessary to rejuvenate Labour’s electoral prospects.
Divisions Within Labour: Support and Dissent
While Burnham’s supporters are advocating for a smooth transition of power, not all Labour MPs are ready to abandon Starmer. Justice Minister Catherine Atkinson defended him, asserting that he embodies the “grit and determination” needed during challenging times. She cautioned against repeating the “constant change of prime ministers” seen under the Conservatives, suggesting that stability should be prioritised.
However, dissenters are becoming increasingly vocal. Some MPs, such as Jo White from Bassetlaw, are calling for Starmer to carefully reflect on his position. White’s constituents, she claimed, are expressing a clear desire for new leadership, urging Starmer to facilitate Burnham’s ascent to the top of the party.
The upcoming cabinet meeting on Tuesday is poised to be a critical juncture for Starmer. It will be a moment for him to gauge the level of support he retains among his ministers following the Makerfield result.
The Race for Leadership: Who Will Challenge?
For Burnham, the victory marks not just a return to Westminster as an MP but a strategic opportunity to challenge for the leadership of the Labour Party. To trigger a leadership contest, he will need the backing of 81 Labour MPs—a target he is expected to reach easily given the current climate.
Wes Streeting, another potential contender, has indicated he possesses enough support to join any forthcoming leadership battle. However, he may reconsider his candidacy if the momentum solidly shifts in Burnham’s favour.
Starmer has maintained that he has no intention of stepping down, asserting, “I was elected to serve my country with a mandate that we secured at a general election two years ago.” He emphasised his commitment to the position, stating his intention to run if a contest arises. Yet, the growing chorus of voices advocating for a transition suggests that his grip on leadership is becoming increasingly tenuous.
The Wider Political Implications
Beyond the immediate dynamics within Labour, the implications of Burnham’s victory resonate throughout the political spectrum. Reform UK leader Nigel Farage lamented his party’s disappointing performance, attributing it to a “vote Burnham, get Starmer out” sentiment among the electorate. This reflects a broader discontent with the current political establishment, which could reshape voter allegiances in future elections.
Moreover, the by-election results have highlighted the challenges Labour faces not just from within but also from rival parties. The Conservatives have capitalised on Labour’s internal strife, with Kemi Badenoch seizing the opportunity to criticise the party for its preoccupation with leadership drama rather than addressing pressing issues like the cost of living crisis.
Why it Matters
The unfolding drama within the Labour Party is not merely a matter of internal politics; it reflects a pivotal moment in British politics. With Burnham’s victory serving as a catalyst for potential leadership change, the outcome could fundamentally alter Labour’s trajectory ahead of the next general election. The party’s ability to unite and present a coherent vision will be crucial in regaining public trust. As the stakes rise, the decisions made in the coming days will shape the future landscape of British governance.