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The UK government has confirmed the extension of a contentious pilot programme aimed at curbing small boat crossings in the English Channel. The initiative, known as “one in, one out,” was initially established by Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron last July. Despite the original deadline approaching, the scheme will now run until 1 October, as both nations grapple with ongoing asylum seeker arrivals.
Extension of the Pilot Programme
The “one in, one out” agreement allows for the forced return of one asylum seeker arriving in the UK by small boat in exchange for the legal entry of another asylum seeker from France who has not attempted to cross the Channel. While the intention behind the scheme is to deter dangerous crossings and dismantle people-smuggling operations, its effectiveness remains under scrutiny.
Since the deal’s inception, thousands of asylum seekers have continued to brave the perilous journey across the Channel. Notably, smugglers have adapted their tactics, launching more vessels from Belgium and offering increasingly expensive overland routes to evade law enforcement on French shores.
Mixed Results on Crossings
Data from recent months indicates a reduction of approximately one-third in crossings compared to the same timeframe last year. However, experts suggest that adverse weather conditions—characterised by exceptionally windy days—may have played a significant role in this decline. As of 28 April, 605 individuals have been returned to France under the scheme, while 581 have arrived in the UK.

The Home Office has touted these figures as part of a broader effort to manage illegal migration, stating that over 600 individuals have been returned as part of the agreement with France. This is part of a larger initiative that has seen nearly 60,000 illegal migrants deported since July 2024—a marked increase of 31% compared to the previous 19 months.
Voices from the Frontline
Despite these statements, many asylum seekers express deep disillusionment with the ongoing extension of the scheme. One individual recently returned to France spoke out, saying, “I am so sorry to hear this news. It is truly very upsetting. Extending this decision won’t stop refugees from coming. As we’ve seen, the small boats are continuing.”
Another asylum seeker, who was detained under the “one in, one out” policy, lamented the dire conditions faced by many in detention centres and those sent back to France. “So many people sent back to France have disappeared and nobody knows where they are. Many were fingerprinted in Bulgaria, which does not treat asylum seekers well. They have disappeared because they are frightened of being sent back there. One in, one out is very bad, but I fear that whatever scheme the UK government comes up with next to stop asylum seekers trying to find safety in the UK will be even worse,” they said.
Government’s Stance on Immigration Control
In response to the concerns surrounding the programme, a Home Office spokesperson defended the initiative, stating, “Our returns agreement with France has seen more than 600 illegal migrants deported from British soil. This contributes to the nearly 60,000 illegal migrants who have been returned since July 2024, up 31% on the 19 months prior. This is just one part of our wider reforms to remove the incentives that draw illegal migrants to the UK and ramp up the return of those with no right to be here.”

Why it Matters
The extension of the “one in, one out” scheme highlights the ongoing complexities of immigration policy in the UK and France. As the number of asylum seekers continues to challenge the system, the effectiveness of such measures remains a contentious issue. The voices of those directly affected underscore the humanitarian implications of government policies, raising critical questions about the future of asylum in Europe.