In a significant potential shift in the political landscape of British Columbia, Braeden Caley, the deputy chief of staff to Prime Minister Mark Carney, is contemplating a run for the North Vancouver-Capilano riding, recently vacated by former Liberal minister Jonathan Wilkinson. This development has sparked interest within the Liberal Party, particularly in light of Mr. Wilkinson’s forthcoming appointment as Canada’s ambassador to the European Union.
Transition in North Vancouver-Capilano
Jonathan Wilkinson, who has represented the North Vancouver-Capilano riding since his election as an MP in 2015, will soon depart federal politics after being appointed to his new diplomatic role, effective this summer. His tenure in Parliament saw him serve as the Minister of Natural Resources from 2021 until 2025, following previous positions as the Minister of Fisheries and the Environment. His expertise, underscored by a commendation from the Prime Minister’s Office highlighting his extensive experience in public policy and international economic engagement, will now be channeled into his responsibilities in Europe.
Caley’s potential candidacy comes amid vocal encouragement from local Liberals, eager to see him step into the ring for the upcoming election. Should he decide to pursue the nomination, it would not only mark a significant career move for him but also create a senior vacancy within the Prime Minister’s Office. Sources close to the situation note that Prime Minister Carney is supportive of Caley’s ambitions, which may further influence his decision.
Caley’s Political Background
Braeden Caley is no stranger to the intricate world of politics in British Columbia. Before his current role in Ottawa, he served as press secretary and director of policy and communications under former Vancouver mayor Gregor Robertson, who is now the federal Minister of Housing and Infrastructure. Caley’s involvement in the local political scene spanned five years during Robertson’s decade-long tenure as Vancouver’s mayor, establishing him as a key player in the province’s political landscape.
Following his time in municipal politics, Caley ascended within the Liberal ranks federally, taking on the role of senior director of communications for the party and later acting as national campaign co-director during the 2025 federal election. His appointment as deputy chief of staff to the Prime Minister in March 2025 further solidified his influence within the government.
Riding Changes and Electoral Landscape
The North Vancouver-Capilano riding, previously known simply as North Vancouver, underwent a name change in 2022, reflecting new electoral boundaries. This riding has a history of competitiveness; prior to Wilkinson’s tenure, it was held by Conservative MP Andrew Saxton from 2008 until 2015. In the last election, Wilkinson achieved a resounding victory, securing 60% of the vote against Conservative candidate Stephen Curran, who garnered 34%. This electoral dominance sets a high bar for any future candidates looking to succeed him.
With Wilkinson’s imminent departure, the onus now falls on prospective candidates like Caley to rally the Liberal base and secure a solid campaign foundation. The riding’s shifting demographics and political sentiments could play a pivotal role in shaping the outcome of the next election.
Why it Matters
The potential candidacy of Braeden Caley represents more than just a personal ambition; it underscores the ongoing evolution within the Liberal Party as it seeks to maintain its foothold in British Columbia. With a seasoned strategist like Caley stepping into the fray, the party may bolster its chances of retaining a critical seat in the next federal election. As the political climate shifts with Wilkinson’s exit, the ripple effects could influence not only local dynamics but also broader national strategies as parties position themselves for the future.
